TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 6:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vito Dell'elba and Ergi Kirkin in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vito Dell'elba' if Vito Dell'elba advances against Ergi Kirkin. This market will resolve to 'Ergi Kirkin' if Ergi Kirkin advances against Vito Dell'elba. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vito Dell'elba and Ergi Kirkin in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vito Dell'elba' if Vito Dell'elba advances against Ergi Kirkin. This market will resolve to 'Ergi Kirkin' if Ergi Kirkin advances against Vito Dell'elba. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s probabilities are determined by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal where the crowd believes there is value or mispricing in the conventional betting lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Dell'elba vs Kirkin match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to incorporate this collective intelligence, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely result. The current price indicates the market's expectation for the match's winner.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir tennis match between Vito Dell'elba and Ergi Kirkin, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning player. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Vito Dell'elba or Ergi Kirkin could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, broader tennis news, such as upsets in other tournaments, might indirectly affect sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, even those not directly related to the players themselves, could also contribute to price movements in this market.