TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mustapha El Natour and Nacho Cepeda Martinez in the M15 Melilla, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mustapha El Natour' if Mustapha El Natour advances against Nacho Cepeda Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Nacho Cepeda Martinez' if Nacho Cepeda Martinez advances against Mustapha El Natour. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mustapha El Natour and Nacho Cepeda Martinez in the M15 Melilla, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mustapha El Natour' if Mustapha El Natour advances against Nacho Cepeda Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Nacho Cepeda Martinez' if Nacho Cepeda Martinez advances against Mustapha El Natour. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and isn't influenced by external factors or predetermined values.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Melilla boxing match between Mustapha El Natour and Nacho Cepeda Martinez, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the fighters' training, health, or potential injuries could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from either fighter or their trainers, analysis from boxing experts, and even changes in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected developments leading up to the fight, such as a late change in venue or a dispute over the rules, could also cause volatility in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.