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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Xinyuan Xie and Xiuyuan Ye in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinyuan Xie' if Xinyuan Xie advances against Xiuyuan Ye. This market will resolve to 'Xiuyuan Ye' if Xiuyuan Ye advances against Xinyuan Xie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Xinyuan Xie and Xiuyuan Ye in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinyuan Xie' if Xinyuan Xie advances against Xiuyuan Ye. This market will resolve to 'Xiuyuan Ye' if Xiuyuan Ye advances against Xinyuan Xie. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome will occur, the higher the share price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Xinyuan Xie vs Xiuyuan Ye match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will rely on publicly available, authoritative sources to verify the final result and determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Xinyuan Xie or Xiuyuan Ye, or changes in coaching strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in the competition, might also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements as traders react to new information or adjust their predictions.