TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 12:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Reiya Komagata and TZU-YUAN TSENG in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Reiya Komagata' if Reiya Komagata advances against TZU-YUAN TSENG. This market will resolve to 'TZU-YUAN TSENG' if TZU-YUAN TSENG advances against Reiya Komagata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Reiya Komagata and TZU-YUAN TSENG in the M15 Luan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Reiya Komagata' if Reiya Komagata advances against TZU-YUAN TSENG. This market will resolve to 'TZU-YUAN TSENG' if TZU-YUAN TSENG advances against Reiya Komagata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Komagata vs Tseng match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more the price will reflect the collective prediction of traders on Polymarket. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Luan match between Reiya Komagata and TZU-YUAN TSENG. The platform will rely on publicly available sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders. This timeframe allows for the completion of the match and the official announcement of the results before settlement occurs.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even strategic announcements from either competitor could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact predictions. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves as the event approaches.