TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 3:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rocco Valente and Nicolas Bruna in the M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis), Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rocco Valente' if Rocco Valente advances against Nicolas Bruna. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Bruna' if Nicolas Bruna advances against Rocco Valente. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rocco Valente and Nicolas Bruna in the M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis), Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rocco Valente' if Rocco Valente advances against Nicolas Bruna. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Bruna' if Nicolas Bruna advances against Rocco Valente. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than bookmakers, or that one venue has access to unique insights. It's common to see variations, especially as new information emerges and the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. The current volume traded gives an indication of how much attention this market is receiving, and how confident traders are in their predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Valente vs Bruna match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information to ensure a fair and accurate outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ condition, training updates, or changes to their strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about injuries, or even changes in the venue or scheduling, could also have a significant impact. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, can also play a role, as traders incorporate this information into their forecasts. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.