TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 2:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giacomo Crisostomo and Lucas Renard in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giacomo Crisostomo' if Giacomo Crisostomo advances against Lucas Renard. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Renard' if Lucas Renard advances against Giacomo Crisostomo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giacomo Crisostomo and Lucas Renard in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giacomo Crisostomo' if Giacomo Crisostomo advances against Lucas Renard. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Renard' if Lucas Renard advances against Giacomo Crisostomo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing perspectives regarding the Budapest tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Giacomo Crisostomo and Lucas Renard in M15 Budapest. The platform will verify the winner of the match against authoritative sources to determine the winning share and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official tennis reporting for confirmation of the final result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting play, could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could signal a change in expectations, leading to price adjustments in this market. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity are key to understanding potential market movements.