TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 2:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Cagan Celik and Matteo Mura in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cagan Celik' if Cagan Celik advances against Matteo Mura. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Mura' if Matteo Mura advances against Cagan Celik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Cagan Celik and Matteo Mura in the M15 Budapest, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cagan Celik' if Cagan Celik advances against Matteo Mura. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Mura' if Matteo Mura advances against Cagan Celik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the participants. The market’s efficiency relies on active trading and a diverse range of opinions, making it a valuable tool for forecasting the result of the Celik vs Mura match.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Budapest fight between Cagan Celik and Matteo Mura, as declared by the relevant governing body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to this date for any updates or changes to the event schedule.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to either Cagan Celik or Matteo Mura would likely cause a shift in the odds. Updates on their training camps, weight cuts, or changes in their coaching staff could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and fight previews could sway opinions and drive trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the fight's location or rules could also play a role. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market before Sep 13, 2026.