TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 7:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Bosio and Manuel Mazza in the M15 Bologna, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Bosio' if Gabriele Bosio advances against Manuel Mazza. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mazza' if Manuel Mazza advances against Gabriele Bosio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Bosio and Manuel Mazza in the M15 Bologna, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Bosio' if Gabriele Bosio advances against Manuel Mazza. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mazza' if Manuel Mazza advances against Gabriele Bosio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can stem from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current volume indicates the level of participation and confidence in each possible result.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bosio vs Mazza match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the players' form or pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concern could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant bets from influential traders could create momentum and move the market in a particular direction. Keep an eye on sports news and analysis leading up to Sep 13, 2026 to understand potential catalysts.