TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Chen Kogan and Alexey Dubinin in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chen Kogan' if Chen Kogan advances against Alexey Dubinin. This market will resolve to 'Alexey Dubinin' if Alexey Dubinin advances against Chen Kogan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Chen Kogan and Alexey Dubinin in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chen Kogan' if Chen Kogan advances against Alexey Dubinin. This market will resolve to 'Alexey Dubinin' if Alexey Dubinin advances against Chen Kogan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different assessment than traditional sportsbooks. This can be due to the different incentives and information sources used by participants in each venue. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit based on public perception, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, allowing traders to express their own informed opinions. It's common to see discrepancies, especially in events where specialized knowledge or unique data is available to prediction market participants. Examining these differences can be insightful for understanding market sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Baku chess match between Chen Kogan and Alexey Dubinin, as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final, officially confirmed result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, health, or preparation could significantly shift expectations. For example, reports of one player experiencing illness or fatigue could cause their odds to decrease. Unexpected results in other tournaments involving these players could also provide new information and impact trading activity. Additionally, expert analysis or commentary on the players' strategies and potential matchups could sway market sentiment and cause price fluctuations.