TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Damas and Vilius Gaubas in the Lyon, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Damas' if Miguel Damas advances against Vilius Gaubas. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Miguel Damas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks adjust for margin and risk management, while prediction markets price based on continuous trader activity. For the Lyon: Miguel Damas vs Vilius Gaubas event, comparing Polymarket odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders diverge in their assessment. Significant gaps may indicate undervalued or overvalued outcomes relative to conventional betting markets.
On Polymarket, the Lyon: Miguel Damas vs Vilius Gaubas market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time probabilities for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move continuously as participants buy and sell shares, with each trade reflecting updated expectations about the fight result. The current odds reflect the aggregate belief of all active traders on Polymarket at any given moment. Liquidity depth and recent trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information or shifts in market sentiment.
The Lyon: Miguel Damas vs Vilius Gaubas market resolves on Jun 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the matchup as recorded by the relevant sports authority and confirmed by the market's data source. The outcome will reflect the final decision, whether by knockout, decision, disqualification, or other official ruling. Once the event concludes and results are verified, the market will settle and winning positions will be credited accordingly.
Several factors could shift odds for the Lyon: Miguel Damas vs Vilius Gaubas matchup. Fighter injury announcements, training camp updates, or withdrawal news would trigger sharp repricing. Weigh-in results and official fighter statements can influence trader confidence. Media coverage, expert analysis, and social sentiment may sway casual participants. Recent performance footage or fighter form changes could prompt reassessment. Betting volume spikes often precede major shifts as informed traders position ahead of the event. Monitor fighter social media, official fight promotions, and sports news outlets for developments that could impact market pricing.