TOTAL VOLUME:

$117b

24H VOL:

$147,458,390

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,211,529,597

342,832

Markets across

34,170

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,388

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Austin, Texas, on a specific date in the future. It categorizes possible temperature outcomes into distinct ranges, each corresponding to a different resolution condition. The event uses a single authoritative source to determine the final result.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) on August 26, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined: 70° or below, 71-72°, 73-74°, 75-76°, 77-78°, and 79° or above. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within any of these ranges, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. All secondary rules emphasize that while other weather sources may provide guidance, The Weather Company’s official report is the sole determinant of the outcome. Participants should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary data due to potential rounding or conversion discrepancies that may affect early readings.