TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 12:07 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Matthew Stafford will achieve 250 or more passing yards in the Los Angeles R versus Denver professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Matthew Stafford exceeding this yardage threshold. Resolution will be determined based on whether Bo Nix records 175+ passing yards in the Los Angeles R vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, as reported by the official game statistics. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves based on performance through September 28, 2026, the estimated date for final statistics to be available.
The event evaluates multiple passing yard thresholds for two designated quarterbacks—Bo Nix and Matthew Stafford—in the Los Angeles R vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. Each threshold market resolves to 'Yes' if the respective quarterback records the specified number of passing yards or more during the game. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual passing yards recorded. All markets operate independently, with resolution contingent solely on the yardage achieved by each quarterback during the contest.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many individuals. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both prediction market prices and sportsbook odds will adjust. However, prediction markets often demonstrate greater accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, particularly as the event approaches and volume increases. It’s common to see convergence between the two as the event nears.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived probability of the corresponding outcome, while lower prices suggest a lower probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yards total from the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official statistics reported by the NFL will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the passing yards total will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key quarterbacks or wide receivers would be a major catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor either passing or running offenses. Unexpected starting quarterback changes or significant shifts in offensive play-calling strategies could also move the market. Furthermore, any news regarding defensive matchups or coaching adjustments could influence traders’ expectations. Increased media attention or public discussion surrounding the game could also drive increased volume and price fluctuations in this market.