TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 9 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria are logically contradictory and unresolvable. Kalshi requires the market to resolve YES if EITHER team wins the match, making it impossible for the market to ever resolve NO. Polymarket provides coherent, standard resolution logic for a competitive esports match.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's match-winner market entirely — it contains a logical error that makes it unresolvable. Use Polymarket's markets for reliable settlement based on official gol.gg results and standard esports resolution rules.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's market (questions 1–2) states 'If Ninjas in Pyjamas wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Weibo Gaming wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction — both outcomes resolve to YES, leaving no path to NO resolution. The market is unresolvable as written.Polymarket:
Aligned with standard esports resolution: Polymarket's markets (questions 3–137) provide coherent, mutually exclusive outcomes. The match-winner market (question 28–29) resolves to 'Weibo Gaming' if Weibo Gaming wins, or 'Ninjas in Pyjamas' if Ninjas in Pyjamas wins. All game-specific markets (Game 1, Game 2, Game 3 winners; objective markets like dragon slays, baron kills, inhibitor destruction, penta kills, quadra kills, odd/even kills, first blood, and kill totals) follow standard esports resolution rules with clear 50-50 fallback conditions for cancellation, forfeiture, incomplete games, or delayed matches beyond 7 days. Primary source is gol.gg with credible reporting consensus as backup within 2 hours of conclusion.
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