TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-one League of Legends match between Vivo Keyd Stars Academy and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. The group includes six markets: match winner, and five in-game metrics for Game 1 (Baron kills by both teams, Penta Kill occurrence, total kill parity, Dragon kills by both teams, and Inhibitor destruction by both teams).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is incomplete and ambiguous, resolving to YES for either team winning without specifying individual market outcomes, while Polymarket provides explicit binary resolution (Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas) with detailed edge case handling including 50-50 outcomes for cancellations, ties, delays, and forfeits.Hero Tip:
On Kalshi, the market structure is unclear—it appears to resolve YES regardless of which team wins, making it unsuitable for directional betting. On Polymarket, you can bet on a specific team outcome with clear resolution criteria and 50-50 tie-breaking rules. Avoid Kalshi for this event; use Polymarket for directional exposure.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market resolves to YES if either Vivo Keyd Stars Academy OR KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas wins the match. The resolution logic states: 'If Vivo Keyd Stars Academy wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction—both outcomes resolve to YES, making the market non-binary and unsuitable for directional betting.Polymarket:
Market is explicitly binary with two distinct outcomes: 'Vivo Keyd Stars Academy' or 'KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas'. Resolution is based on match winner per gol.gg. Includes comprehensive edge case handling: cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, and forfeits all resolve to 50-50. Incomplete games with forfeits resolve to the winning team; incomplete games without a forfeit resolve 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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