TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Vivo Keyd Stars Academy and INTZ e-Sports in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 7 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars Academy" if Vivo Keyd Stars Academy win the match against INTZ e-Sports. This market will resolve to "INTZ e-Sports" if INTZ e-Sports win the match against Vivo Keyd Stars Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge fundamentally on market scope and resolution logic. Polymarket offers six granular Game 1 outcome markets (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitors, Quadra Kill, Penta Kill, Odd/Even Kills) plus one match-winner market, all requiring Game 1 to be played and resolved via gol.gg. Kalshi offers only a single binary match-winner market with no Game 1 specificity, creating a logical contradiction: Kalshi resolves YES if either team wins the match, making it impossible for the market to resolve NO under any realistic scenario.Hero Tip:
Critical trading alert: Kalshi's market structure is fundamentally broken — it resolves YES regardless of which team wins, meaning there is no NO outcome. Do not trade Kalshi's market. Polymarket's six Game 1 markets are resolvable but depend entirely on whether Game 1 is actually played; if the series is decided before Game 1 or the match is forfeited, all six Game 1 markets resolve 50-50. Verify match status and series standing before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six independent Game 1-specific markets (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitors, Quadra Kill, Penta Kill, Odd/Even Kills) plus one match-winner market. All Game 1 markets resolve based on official gol.gg data and include explicit 50-50 fallback rules if Game 1 is not played (forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or series already decided). The match-winner market resolves to the winning team or 50-50 if canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or ends in forfeit/disqualification/walkover. Key quote: 'If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers a single binary match-winner market with contradictory resolution logic. The rules state 'If Vivo Keyd Stars Academy wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If INTZ e-Sports wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility: both outcomes resolve to YES, leaving no path to NO resolution. The market is unresolvable as written. Key quote: 'If Vivo Keyd Stars Academy wins the Circuito Desafiante 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If INTZ e-Sports wins the Circuito Desafiante 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'
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