TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
Volume:
$447,221
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Team Heretics Academy faces Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition in an EMEA Masters Playoffs upper bracket match. The series will consist of up to three games, with the first team to win two games advancing. Markets cover match outcome, individual game winners, objective-specific events (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitors), kill statistics, and multi-kill achievements across all games.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves on the outcome of the EMEA Masters 2026 tournament (winner-takes-all, binary YES/NO for the entire championship), while Polymarket resolves on specific match outcomes, individual game results, and in-game statistics (First Blood, Baron/Dragon kills, inhibitors, multikills, kill counts). These are logically incompatible: Kalshi's markets cannot resolve until the full tournament concludes, whereas Polymarket's markets resolve immediately after each game or match. Additionally, Kalshi's resolution criteria are internally contradictory—both outcomes (Heretics win OR Unicorns win) resolve to YES, making the market logically unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms expecting consistent outcomes. Kalshi's markets are fundamentally broken (both YES and NO outcomes map to YES). Polymarket's markets are resolvable but operate on a completely different scope (match/game-level statistics vs. tournament championship). If you hold positions on both platforms, treat them as entirely separate bets with no hedging relationship.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines two markets that both resolve to YES regardless of outcome, creating a logical contradiction. Market 1 states 'If Los Heretics wins...then the market resolves to Yes' and Market 2 states 'If Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Since exactly one team must win, both conditions cannot be mutually exclusive, and the market cannot resolve to NO under any realistic scenario. This violates basic binary market logic. Additionally, Kalshi's scope is the full EMEA Masters 2026 tournament championship, not the specific Upper bracket round 1 match.
- Polymarket: Aligned with itself (no other platform shares this scope): Polymarket resolves on specific, granular match and game-level outcomes including match winner, individual game winners, First Blood in Games 1-2, objective control (Baron, Dragons, Inhibitors), multikills (Quadra/Penta), and aggregate kill counts. All markets reference the Upper bracket round 1 match scheduled for March 23, 12:00 PM ET, with resolution sourced from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Markets resolve immediately upon game/match completion or per detailed forfeit/remake clauses. Polymarket's scope is the specific match and its constituent games, not the tournament championship.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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