TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
Volume:
$84,538
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of a single League of Legends Best-of-One match between paiN Gaming Academy and INTZ e-Sports scheduled for March 30, 2026, in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season (Brazilian regional competition). The market resolves to Yes if either team wins the match, creating an ambiguous settlement condition that requires clarification on which team outcome triggers resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on the outcome of the match itself (who wins), while Polymarket resolves on specific in-game statistics (inhibitors, kills, dragons, baron, quadra/penta kills). These are incompatible resolution targets with no logical overlap.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these markets move together. A Kalshi YES (paiN or INTZ wins) tells you nothing about whether both teams destroy inhibitors, slay dragons, or achieve quadra kills. Polymarket markets require detailed game-state data; Kalshi requires only a match winner. Treat each platform's markets as independent prediction events.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves on match outcome only. The single market asks 'Did paiN Gaming Academy or INTZ e-Sports win the BO1 match?' with resolution to YES if either team wins, and 50-50 if canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or ends in forfeit/walkover. Key quote: 'This market resolves to Yes' if either team wins the match originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on six separate in-game statistics: inhibitor destruction, quadra kills, total kill parity (odd/even), dragon slays, penta kills, and baron slays. Each market independently resolves YES/NO based on whether both teams meet the specified threshold, with 50-50 fallback if the match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, forfeited, or if Game 1 is never played. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if both paiN Gaming Academy and INTZ e-Sports each [destroy at least one enemy inhibitor / slay at least one elemental dragon / slay Baron Nashor at least once]' and '50-50' if 'Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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