TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.6b
24H VOL:
$215,176,776
24H TRANSACTIONS:
595,647,402
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,321,740,341
576,656
Markets across
14,624
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,045
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Closed: May 12, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between MVK Esports and Ground Zero Gaming in the Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 12 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against Ground Zero Gaming. This market will resolve to "Ground Zero Gaming" if Ground Zero Gaming win the match against MVK Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect decentralized trader consensus and often diverge from traditional esports sportsbooks due to different liquidity pools and participant bases. Sportsbooks typically employ professional oddsmakers and adjust lines for liability management, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs in real time. For this MVK versus Ground Zero Gaming match, comparing Polymarket prices to major esports betting sites can reveal whether the market is pricing the outcome more bullishly or bearishly than professional bookmakers, offering insight into where informed traders see value.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Pricing on Predict for this match reflects the collective assessment of traders wagering on the MVK Esports versus Ground Zero Gaming best-of-three outcome. Market participants buy and sell shares based on their confidence in each team's performance, with prices fluctuating as new information emerges. The current market depth and recent trading activity indicate how contested or one-sided traders view this Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs matchup, with prices converging toward consensus as the May 12, 2026 resolution approaches.
The market resolves on May 12, 2026 following the completion of the best-of-three match between MVK Esports and Ground Zero Gaming in the Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs. Resolution is determined by the official match result recorded by tournament organizers and verified through reliable esports data sources. The winning team in the series will trigger the corresponding outcome resolution, settling all positions on Polymarket accordingly.
Key catalysts include roster changes or player substitutions announced by either team, recent tournament performance and win rates in qualifying rounds, patch updates that shift champion viability, and injury or availability announcements. Analyst predictions and community sentiment on esports forums can also influence market pricing as traders adjust their positions. Head-to-head historical matchup data, scrim results leaked by insiders, and coaching staff changes may drive significant repricing. As the match date approaches, any official statements about team preparation or strategic adjustments will likely trigger trading activity on Polymarket.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.