TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas and paiN Gaming Academy in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 6 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas" if KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas win the match against paiN Gaming Academy. This market will resolve to "paiN Gaming Academy" if paiN Gaming Academy win the match against KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides six game-specific markets (Baron, Penta Kill, Inhibitors, Kills Odd/Even, Dragon, Quadra Kill) with detailed resolution rules tied to Game 1 completion and gol.gg as primary source, while Kalshi provides only a single binary match-outcome market (either team wins) with no game-level detail and no explicit resolution source. The two platforms resolve fundamentally different questions: Polymarket settles on in-game events; Kalshi settles only on match winner.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on specific in-game mechanics (Baron kills, multi-kills, objectives) that require Game 1 to be played and completed. If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting only on which team wins the match overall. These are not hedges of each other—a Polymarket YES on 'Both Teams Slay Baron' can coexist with either Kalshi outcome. Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi positions will correlate or offset.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket offers six distinct game-level markets, each resolving based on specific in-game events during Game 1 (Baron slays, Penta Kills, Inhibitor destruction, total kills parity, Dragon slays, Quadra Kills). All six markets use gol.gg as primary source and include detailed forfeit/remake/surrender clauses. Example: 'This market will resolve to Yes if both KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas and paiN Gaming Academy each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi provides a single binary match-outcome market that resolves YES if either paiN Gaming Academy or KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas wins the match. No game-level detail, no in-game event conditions, and no explicit resolution source is stated. Example: 'If paiN Gaming Academy wins the Circuito Desafiante 2026: paiN Gaming Academy vs. KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas League of Legends match originally scheduled for Apr 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
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