TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
kalshi
polymarket

LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Volume:
$100,162

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 9, 2026

Closed: Apr 8, 10:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75,159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Estral Esports

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,323
N/A
N/A
$4,517
Settled
No
kalshi

INTZ e-Sports

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,765
N/A
N/A
$8,611
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$840
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$794
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market refers to the LoL match between INTZ e-Sports and Estral Esports in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 8 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "INTZ e-Sports" if INTZ e-Sports win the match against Estral Esports. This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win the match against INTZ e-Sports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves a binary match-winner market (Yes if either team wins), which is logically incoherent and resolves to Yes in all realistic scenarios. Polymarket resolves six distinct game-specific outcome markets (match winner, inhibitors, Baron, dragons, quadra kill, penta kill, kill parity) with proper binary or categorical logic. These are incompatible event definitions.Hero tip: Do not trade across these platforms assuming they settle the same outcome. Kalshi's market is unresolvable as written (both outcomes trigger Yes). Polymarket's markets are standard esports betting. If you hold positions on both platforms, treat them as completely separate bets with no hedge value.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines a single binary market that resolves Yes if 'Estral Esports wins' OR 'INTZ e-Sports wins' the match. This creates a logical contradiction—both possible match outcomes trigger Yes, making the market unresolvable. The market states 'If Estral Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If INTZ e-Sports wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' with no No condition defined.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard esports betting logic: Polymarket resolves six distinct markets: (1) match winner (INTZ vs Estral, categorical), (2) both teams destroy inhibitors (binary Yes/No), (3) both teams slay Baron (binary Yes/No), (4) both teams slay a dragon (binary Yes/No), (5) any player quadra kill (binary Yes/No), (6) any player penta kill (binary Yes/No). Each market has clear Yes and No conditions tied to specific in-game events, all sourced from gol.gg. These are properly formed prediction markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.