TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5)
- Polymarket
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 12, 2026
Closed: Jun 12, 8:10 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
A best-of-three League of Legends match between Forsaken and Karmine Corp Blue in the EMEA Masters Group B, scheduled for June 12, 2026. The event group contains 23 markets covering match winner, individual game winners, objective-based outcomes (Baron, Dragons, Inhibitors), kill statistics (Quadra/Penta kills, odd/even totals), and series length.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All 23 markets across Limitless and Polymarket share identical resolution logic: official gol.gg source, 2-hour fallback window, 7-day cancellation threshold, 50-50 for unplayed games in series, and consistent forfeit/remake handling.Primary resolution logic: gol.gg/esports/home (official EMEA Masters results); credible video evidence and consensus reporting accepted if official results not published within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Series-level markets (match winner, games total, handicap) resolve based on final series outcome only; game-specific markets resolve based on that individual game if played
- If a game is not played because the series result is already clinched (e.g., one team wins 2-0 before Game 3), game-specific markets for that game resolve 50-50
- If the entire match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days from June 12, 2026 without play beginning, or ends in a tie, all markets resolve 50-50
- If a match begins but is not completed and one team wins via opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover during series play, series-level markets resolve to the winning team; if forfeit occurs pre-match, series-level markets resolve 50-50
- Games won by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover count toward series totals and handicap calculations, provided the match is completed
- If a game begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, objective-based markets (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitor, Quadra/Penta kills) resolve based on whether the condition was met prior to stoppage; if not met, resolve to No
- Odd/Even kill markets resolve 50-50 if no kills are recorded or if the game is not played
- If any game is remade, resolution is based on the remade game only
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Series Clinch Before Game 3: If Forsaken or Karmine Corp Blue wins 2-0, Game 3 is not played. All Game 3-specific markets (Baron, Dragons, Inhibitors, Quadra/Penta kills, odd/even kills) resolve 50-50. Games Total O/U 2.5 resolves to Under. Match winner and handicap resolve based on the 2-0 result.
- Forfeit During Series Play: If one team forfeits after the series has begun (e.g., after Game 1), the opposing team is declared the winner. Series-level markets resolve to the winning team. Games Total and handicap count the forfeited game as completed.
- Pre-Match Forfeit or Walkover: If either team forfeits or walks away before any game is played, all markets resolve 50-50, including match winner and games total.
- Surrender During Game: If a game ends via surrender before completion, objective markets resolve based on whether the condition (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitor, Quadra/Penta kill) was achieved prior to surrender. If not achieved, resolve to No.
- Delay Beyond 7 Days: If the match is delayed beyond 7 days from June 12, 2026 without play beginning, all markets resolve 50-50.
Polymarket
This market refers to the LoL Decider match between Forsaken and Karmine Corp Blue in the EMEA Masters Group B, initially scheduled for June 12 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Forsaken" if Forsaken win the match against Karmine Corp Blue. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp Blue" if Karmine Corp Blue win the match against Forsaken. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the match between Forsaken and Karmine Corp Blue in the EMEA Masters Spring 2026, scheduled for Jun 12, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by July 12, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Frequently asked questions
Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct market rules, fee structures, and user bases, which can create temporary price gaps. Polymarket attracts larger volumes of professional traders and retail participants, while Limitless may have a more specialized or regional audience. Differences in liquidity depth, settlement procedures, and promotional incentives also influence how quickly prices converge. These divergences typically narrow as arbitrageurs exploit the spread, but they can persist if the platforms serve materially different trader populations or have different risk tolerances around this particular event.
Key catalysts include roster announcements, player substitutions, recent scrim results, and performance in earlier group stage matches. Injury or availability updates for key players can shift odds significantly. Meta shifts in League of Legends patches released before the match may favor one team's playstyle over the other. Community analysis, coach interviews, and betting syndicates' public positions can also trigger repricing. As the match date approaches, any official schedule changes or venue updates would influence trader confidence and liquidity.
