TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Estral Esports and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 21 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win the match against KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas. This market will resolve to "KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas" if KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas win the match against Estral Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is incomplete and ambiguous, resolving to YES for either team winning without specifying match outcome criteria, while Polymarket provides comprehensive match outcome resolution with clear tie/forfeit/delay handling.Hero Tip:
If betting on Kalshi's match outcome market, note that the resolution criteria are vague and do not clearly specify which team's victory triggers YES. On Polymarket, the match outcome is unambiguous: YES resolves to the winning team name. For in-game stat markets (Penta Kill, Kills Odd/Even, Inhibitors, Baron, Dragon, Quadra Kill), both platforms defer to gol.gg and align on 50-50 resolution for cancellations, forfeits, and delays beyond 7 days.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market resolves YES if either KaBuM! or Estral wins the match, but does not specify which team's victory corresponds to YES or provide handling for ties, forfeits, or delays. The resolution logic states: 'If KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Estral Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates ambiguity about whether the market is binary (one YES outcome) or categorical (two separate YES outcomes).Polymarket:
Market is explicitly categorical with two outcomes: 'Estral Esports' and 'KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas'. Resolves to the winning team name. Comprehensive edge case handling: 50-50 for cancellation, tie, delay beyond 7 days, or forfeit/walkover before match start. If match begins and one team wins via forfeit/disqualification/walkover, resolves to winning team. Source: gol.gg with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
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