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LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
kalshi
polymarket

LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Volume:
$100,796

KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 22, 2026

Closed: Apr 21, 8:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,613
N/A
N/A
$10,518
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,708
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Estral Esports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,977
N/A
N/A
$10,919
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$748
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$206
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 9

Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Estral Esports and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 21 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win the match against KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas. This market will resolve to "KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas" if KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas win the match against Estral Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is incomplete and ambiguous, resolving to YES for either team winning without specifying match outcome criteria, while Polymarket provides comprehensive match outcome resolution with clear tie/forfeit/delay handling.Hero tip: If betting on Kalshi's match outcome market, note that the resolution criteria are vague and do not clearly specify which team's victory triggers YES. On Polymarket, the match outcome is unambiguous: YES resolves to the winning team name. For in-game stat markets (Penta Kill, Kills Odd/Even, Inhibitors, Baron, Dragon, Quadra Kill), both platforms defer to gol.gg and align on 50-50 resolution for cancellations, forfeits, and delays beyond 7 days.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market resolves YES if either KaBuM! or Estral wins the match, but does not specify which team's victory corresponds to YES or provide handling for ties, forfeits, or delays. The resolution logic states: 'If KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Estral Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates ambiguity about whether the market is binary (one YES outcome) or categorical (two separate YES outcomes).
  • Polymarket: Market is explicitly categorical with two outcomes: 'Estral Esports' and 'KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas'. Resolves to the winning team name. Comprehensive edge case handling: 50-50 for cancellation, tie, delay beyond 7 days, or forfeit/walkover before match start. If match begins and one team wins via forfeit/disqualification/walkover, resolves to winning team. Source: gol.gg with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.