TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a League of Legends Best-of-1 match between Eintracht Frankfurt and Eintracht Spandau in the Prime League 1st Division Regular Season, scheduled for April 1, 2026. Markets span match outcome, in-game objectives (dragons, baron, inhibitors), and specific mechanical events (quadra kills, penta kills, kill parity).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different events. Kalshi's two markets both resolve based on match outcome (winner determination), while Polymarket's five markets resolve based on in-game statistics (Quadra Kill, Dragon slays, Inhibitor destruction, Kill parity, Baron slays, Penta Kill). These are logically independent settlement bases with no overlap.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket outcomes are correlated. A Kalshi YES (Frankfurt or Spandau wins) tells you nothing about whether a Quadra Kill occurs, both teams slay Dragons, or total kills are odd. Treat each platform's markets as separate prediction events with independent resolution criteria.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves on match outcome only. Both Kalshi markets (Spandau wins OR Frankfurt wins) settle to YES if that team wins the BO1 match. Resolution source is gol.gg. No in-game statistics are evaluated. Key quote: 'If Eintracht Spandau wins the Prime League 1st Division 2026: Eintracht Spandau vs. Eintracht Frankfurt League of Legends match originally scheduled for Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on five independent in-game statistics (Quadra Kill, Dragon slays, Inhibitor destruction, Kill parity, Baron slays, Penta Kill) plus one match outcome market. Each statistic has its own resolution logic independent of match winner. Resolution source is gol.gg. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to No if no player achieves a Quadra Kill.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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