TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-3 League of Legends match between Berlin International Gaming (BIG) and Team Orange Gaming in the Prime League 1st Division Playoffs, scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Multiple markets track the match outcome, individual game winners, game count, handicap, and first blood events across both games.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's match outcome markets contain logical contradictions that make them fundamentally unresolvable. Both possible outcomes (Team Orange Gaming wins OR Berlin International Gaming wins) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), creating a tautology. Polymarket provides clear binary outcomes with well-defined edge cases.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's match outcome markets—they are logically broken. For Game 1 Winner, Game 2 Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, Game Handicap, and First Blood markets, use Polymarket's resolution criteria as the binding standard. Require official gol.gg confirmation or credible video evidence within 2 hours of match conclusion. If the match is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, all markets resolve 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Match outcome markets state: 'If Team Orange Gaming wins... then Yes' AND 'If Berlin International Gaming wins... then Yes'. This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable and meaningless.Polymarket:
Match outcome resolves to 'Berlin International Gaming' if BIG wins, or 'Team Orange Gaming' if TOG wins. Cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, and pre-match forfeits resolve 50-50. In-match forfeits/disqualifications resolve to the winning team. Source: gol.gg within 2 hours, or credible consensus reporting with video evidence.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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