TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-One League of Legends match between 7REX and RMD Gaming in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT. Markets span match outcome, in-game objectives (dragons, inhibitors, Baron), and specific play events (kills, multikills) during Game 1.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for ANY outcome (both teams winning), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are properly scoped to Game 1 outcomes with clear resolution criteria, while Kalshi's match-winner market is logically sound but its companion market is broken.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi match-winner market entirely — it is logically contradictory and will almost certainly resolve to 50-50 or face litigation. Polymarket's Game 1 markets (Dragons, Inhibitors, Baron, Quadra/Penta Kills, Odd/Even Kills) are properly constructed and resolvable if the match is played on schedule.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Kalshi provides two markets: (1) a match-winner market (7REX vs RMD Gaming) with sound logic (resolves to winning team or 50-50 on cancellation/delay/forfeit), and (2) a companion market stating 'If RMD Gaming wins... then resolves YES' AND 'If 7REX wins... then resolves YES' — meaning the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins. This is a logical contradiction: both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve YES in a binary market. Quote: 'If RMD Gaming wins the Circuito Desafiante 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If 7REX wins the Circuito Desafiante 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Polymarket provides six properly scoped Game 1 markets with clear binary or outcome-based resolution: (1) Both Teams Slay Dragon (Yes/No), (2) Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (Yes/No), (3) Both Teams Slay Baron (Yes/No), (4) Any Player Quadra Kill (Yes/No), (5) Any Player Penta Kill (Yes/No), (6) Odd/Even Total Kills. All include consistent edge-case handling (50-50 on cancellation, delay >7 days, forfeit, walkover, or series clinch before Game 1; resolution based on game state if surrender occurs; remake resolution based on remade game only). Primary source: gol.gg/esports/home with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting and video evidence. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if both 7REX and RMD Gaming each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. This market will resolve to No if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 1.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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