TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Metro Bank One Day Cup cricket match between Lancashire and Nottinghamshire will be completed with an official result declared. The aggregated consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi stands at 99%. All markets resolve based on official results published by ESPNcricinfo. The outcome will be confirmed by August 6, 2026, marking the end of the betting period for this match completion market.
This market refers to the cricket match between Lancashire and Nottinghamshire scheduled for 2026-07-30 in Metro Bank One Day Cup.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giants men's professional The Hundred cricket match scheduled for July 28, 2026. If either team wins the match, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. In cases of forfeit, disqualification, or concession, markets resolve to $0.50 if the issue occurs before play begins; if it occurs after play starts and the governing body declares a winner, the market resolves based on that declaration.
Prediction market odds on this market often reflect sharper, crowd-sourced insights compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks incorporate broader public betting patterns and adjustments, prediction markets let traders act on detailed analysis and proprietary data. The gap between the two can widen if new information emerges, such as player injuries or weather forecasts, creating potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts different user bases and liquidity profiles. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one venue might see heavier participation from UK-based traders who follow county cricket closely, while the other could lean toward international or algorithmic traders. These dynamics often produce divergent implied probabilities, even for the same underlying question.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute team announcements, pitch or weather conditions on the day of the match, and in-game performance updates such as early wickets or partnerships. Any surprise inclusions or omissions from the starting XI can also cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess the balance of play.