TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:08h:59m
Will KATSEYE have above 11M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?
$
Description
This event tracks the performance of the music artist KATSEYE by monitoring their daily view counts on YouTube over a specific period. It evaluates whether the artist achieves certain view count thresholds, reflecting their popularity and reach during that time. The outcome depends on whether KATSEYE's global daily views surpass specified milestones within the defined dates.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether the music artist KATSEYE achieves specified global daily view count thresholds on YouTube during the period from October 26, 2026, to November 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, ranging from above 11 million to above 25 million views. For any market to resolve to "Yes," KATSEYE must surpass the respective threshold at any point during the specified period. View counts are determined using values displayed from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, with the "Global" location selected. It is noted that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation or endorsement by YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. While analysts often provide point estimates or ranges for potential outcomes, this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals, creating a probabilistic forecast. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than individual analyst predictions, especially when dealing with complex events where information is widely dispersed. However, discrepancies can arise due to biases or differing interpretations of available data. It's important to consider both sources of information when forming your own view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders bid and ask for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's depth and liquidity, indicated by the bid-ask spread, can also influence pricing. A narrower spread generally suggests greater consensus and confidence in the market's assessment.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest daily view count achieved by KATSEYE during the period of October 26, 2026, to November 1, 2026. Data will be sourced from publicly available metrics and verified to ensure accuracy. The final price of the contracts will reflect whether the actual view count exceeded or fell short of the levels implied by the market prices at resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding KATSEYE’s content release schedule, marketing campaigns, or critical reception could influence its viewership. Unexpected viral trends or significant media coverage could also drive substantial changes in the market. Furthermore, broader shifts in entertainment consumption patterns or the release of competing content could affect KATSEYE’s performance. Monitoring these factors and assessing their potential impact on daily view counts is crucial for understanding the market's movements.
