TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 12:50 PM EST
Kalshi
The first set of a professional tennis match establishes the initial combat between rivals, with the winner gaining an important early lead that may affect the psychological dynamics for the rest of the contest.
If Jiri Lehecka wins set 2 in the Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pablo Carreno Busta wins set 2 in the Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders directly set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent each possible outcome. The current probability reflects the relative demand for contracts tied to each player winning set two. As new information emerges — such as player form, injuries, or in-match momentum — traders adjust their positions, causing the market price to shift accordingly. Volume of $123,398 indicates overall interest.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of set two will be determined by the official match result, and the contract representing that player will settle in accordance with the match’s confirmed score. Timing depends on when official results are published post-match, typically shortly after conclusion.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates, recent form or performance metrics from either player, weather conditions affecting play, and in-match statistics such as breaks or early set points. Any unexpected changes — like a player withdrawing or a delay — may also cause rapid re-pricing. Traders will monitor pre-match news, live scoring updates, and commentary for clues to guide their positions as Aug 30, 2026 approaches.