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Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC?

Volume:
$1,078,358

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 21, 2026

Closed: Jul 21, 8:31 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$160,499
N/A
N/A
$85,622
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$52,870
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gangwon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$353,562
N/A
N/A
$215,626
Settled
No
polymarket

Gangwon FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$330,675
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeju SK

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$110,006
N/A
N/A
$67,176
Settled
No
polymarket

Jeju SK FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the K League 1 match between Jeju SK FC and Gangwon FC, scheduled for July 21, 2026, will end in a draw. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw stands at 100.0%, drawing data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on https://www.kleague.com/. A key catalyst to monitor will be the match result on July 21, 2026, which will determine the final outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation logic differs between Polymarket (explicit three-way handling) and Kalshi (no cancellation clause stated). Additionally, Polymarket structures three separate binary markets while Kalshi appears to offer a single three-outcome market, creating potential for misalignment if one platform voids and another settles.Hero tip: Treat Polymarket and Kalshi as separate settlement universes for this event. On Polymarket, a full cancellation with no make-up game guarantees the draw market resolves YES and both win markets resolve NO—a profitable arbitrage if you hold all three. On Kalshi, the absence of a cancellation rule means you must clarify with support whether cancellation triggers void, no-resolution, or a default outcome. Do not assume parity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Jeju win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO, Gangwon win YES/NO). Cancellation with no make-up: Draw market resolves YES, both win markets resolve NO. Resolution source: kleague.com official statistics within 2 hours of match end, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) vs. 'this market will resolve to Yes' (draw market).
  • Kalshi: Single three-outcome market (Jeju wins, Gangwon wins, or Tie). No explicit cancellation clause provided in rules. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties. Key quote: 'If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes' (but no guidance on what happens if match is canceled).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming K-League game, scheduled for Tuesday, July 21, 2026 between Jeju SK FC and Gangwon FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Jeju SK vs Gangwon K League 1 match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties. Each team outcome resolves to Yes if that team wins the match. A tied result resolves the Tie market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original July 21, 2026 date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

The Jeju SK vs. Gangwon FC match dashboard aggregates prediction market prices across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting you monitor real-time odds on the match outcome. Both venues track the same event but may price it differently based on their trader bases and liquidity. You can compare how each platform's community assesses the teams' chances, spot consensus views, and watch how odds shift as match day approaches. This cross-platform view helps you understand whether one venue is pricing the outcome more bullishly than the other, revealing potential arbitrage or directional conviction.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks both reflect probability estimates, but they operate differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets let traders set prices through supply and demand. This market's odds on Polymarket and Kalshi emerge from thousands of independent traders betting real money, often producing sharper, less biased estimates than traditional bookmakers. However, prediction market liquidity and volume can vary, so comparing both venues to major sportsbooks gives you a fuller picture of where consensus truly lies on this fixture.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, regulatory frameworks, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices form. Polymarket and Kalshi may have different user bases with varying levels of familiarity with Korean football, leading to divergent assessments of team strength. Liquidity depth also varies between venues; lower volume on one platform can allow prices to drift further from consensus. Additionally, platform-specific incentives, promotional activity, and settlement rule clarity can shift trader behavior, causing temporary price gaps that may or may not represent genuine disagreement about the match outcome.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, and recent team form will likely shift odds significantly. If either squad experiences a sudden loss or winning streak, traders will reprice their expectations. Weather conditions at match time, head-to-head history, and any managerial changes can also trigger volatility. Breaking news about player suspensions or unexpected roster moves often sparks sharp moves on both Polymarket and Kalshi. As the match date nears, late-breaking tactical insights and team news typically drive the final repricing before kick-off.