TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:03 PM EST
Kalshi
For the contest between Jacksonville and Denver, the market depends on whether both teams manage to score in the fourth quarter of regulation, with overtime points excluded. The outcome rests purely on late-game offensive success.
If Jacksonville and Denver both score points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Jacksonville vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market’s implied probability and sportsbook odds, it might indicate differing expert opinions or a perceived edge by traders. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently as new information becomes available, sometimes anticipating sportsbook adjustments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts predicting both teams will score, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the likelihood of a scoring fourth quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Jacksonville and Denver teams score during the fourth quarter of the game. The final score will be verified against credible public sources to determine if both teams successfully reached the endzone during the final period of play. The outcome will be binary: either both teams score, or they do not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or offensive weapons on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if adverse conditions are predicted, could also shift expectations. In-game performance during the first three quarters – for example, strong offensive showings or defensive struggles – could lead traders to reassess the probability of a fourth-quarter scoring drive by either team. Any unexpected developments could move this market.