TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Peliwo and Kristjan Tamm in the ITF Men Vaasa, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Peliwo' if Filip Peliwo advances against Kristjan Tamm. This market will resolve to 'Kristjan Tamm' if Kristjan Tamm advances against Filip Peliwo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker models. Sportsbooks typically incorporate margin and risk management, while prediction markets aggregate real-time belief across many participants. For the Peliwo vs Tamm match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers. These gaps may highlight undervalued or overvalued outcomes, though both venues ultimately reflect uncertainty about the final result.
On Polymarket, the Peliwo vs Tamm match is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time odds for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing a player victory trade between 0 and 1 USD, with the price reflecting the collective probability assigned by the market. As traders buy or sell shares, the price adjusts to balance supply and demand. The current top outcome shows the market's leading expectation, though prices remain fluid until match resolution, allowing traders to enter or exit positions at any time before the event concludes.
The ITF Vaasa: Filip Peliwo vs Kristjan Tamm market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 17, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the completed match between Filip Peliwo and Kristjan Tamm at the ITF Vaasa tournament. The market will settle once the match concludes and the winner is confirmed through official ITF records. Traders should monitor the tournament schedule and any updates from the event organizers to stay informed of timing changes or postponements that could affect resolution.
Several factors could shift market odds for Peliwo vs Tamm before the match begins. Recent form and head-to-head records may influence trader positioning as new information emerges. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and player injury updates can trigger repricing. Tournament seeding, draw position, and momentum from earlier rounds may also sway sentiment. Withdrawal or late scratches would dramatically alter odds. Social media discussion, expert commentary, and betting syndicate activity can accelerate moves. Traders should monitor ITF announcements, player social accounts, and tennis news outlets for developments that could impact the match outcome and market pricing.