TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amy Zhu and Annabelle Xu in the ITF Women San Diego, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amy Zhu' if Amy Zhu advances against Annabelle Xu. This market will resolve to 'Annabelle Xu' if Annabelle Xu advances against Amy Zhu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amy Zhu and Annabelle Xu in the ITF Women San Diego, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amy Zhu' if Amy Zhu advances against Annabelle Xu. This market will resolve to 'Annabelle Xu' if Annabelle Xu advances against Amy Zhu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to price outcomes. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants wagering real capital, which can sometimes offer a contrarian or more efficient signal than traditional betting lines. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree on the match.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the implied probability that Amy Zhu or Annabelle Xu will win, with the total always summing to 100 percent. As more traders enter and exit positions, the price adjusts dynamically. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices move in response to new information, so markets with higher activity tend to converge more tightly toward fair value.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the ITF San Diego match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official tournament records and reliable sports data sources. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate. After resolution, payouts are distributed according to the final result, and the market closes.
Several factors may shift odds before the match takes place. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and player rankings can influence trader sentiment. Injury reports or withdrawal announcements would have an immediate impact. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and draw positioning at the ITF San Diego event may also prompt repricing. News about either player's recent form, coaching changes, or other contextual developments could trigger trading activity. Real-time match updates during play will drive the most dramatic price swings as the outcome becomes clearer.