TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 3:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yusuke Takahashi and Chase Ferguson in the ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Urayasu (Japan), hard, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yusuke Takahashi' if Yusuke Takahashi advances against Chase Ferguson. This market will resolve to 'Chase Ferguson' if Chase Ferguson advances against Yusuke Takahashi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yusuke Takahashi and Chase Ferguson in the ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Urayasu (Japan), hard, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yusuke Takahashi' if Yusuke Takahashi advances against Chase Ferguson. This market will resolve to 'Chase Ferguson' if Chase Ferguson advances against Yusuke Takahashi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized betting pool where participants set odds based on their willingness to back either competitor. The current top outcome chance reflects the collective assessment of all traders on the platform, adjusting dynamically with each new bet. This mechanism allows for rapid price changes in response to news, performance updates, or shifts in betting sentiment surrounding the players, capturing the market’s evolving expectations for the match.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match conclusion, reflecting who wins the final point of the contest between the two players. As long as the match is completed and reported reliably, the market will close and payouts will follow based on the settled result.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including updates on player injuries, changes in tournament conditions such as weather or court surface, and recent match performance or form. News about coaching strategies, player confidence, or even betting trends on Polymarket can also influence trader sentiment. As the match approaches, any last-minute announcements or visible advantages in practice sessions may cause rapid price adjustments, reflecting the market’s real-time reaction to new information.