TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 4:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Tosetto and Maxwell Exsted in the ITF M25 Asuncion Men, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Tosetto' if Rafael Tosetto advances against Maxwell Exsted. This market will resolve to 'Maxwell Exsted' if Maxwell Exsted advances against Rafael Tosetto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Tosetto and Maxwell Exsted in the ITF M25 Asuncion Men, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Tosetto' if Rafael Tosetto advances against Maxwell Exsted. This market will resolve to 'Maxwell Exsted' if Maxwell Exsted advances against Rafael Tosetto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader-driven pricing and the inclusion of betting volumes. While sportsbooks may set their odds based on analyst insights and historical data, prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of participants, which can lead to varied implied probabilities. Traders on Polymarket may price in nuances or recent developments not fully captured by sportsbook models, potentially creating mispricings or early shifts in perception before official lines adjust.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match conclusion, reflecting which player is declared the winner according to tournament rules and authoritative sports news sources. No additional interpretation or platform-specific criteria beyond widely accepted public records is required for settlement.
Several signals could shift prices in this market before it settles. Key developments include player injuries or changes to the match schedule, such as weather delays or surface conditions affecting performance. Recent form, practice session reports, and betting trends on Polymarket may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute news — whether strategic adjustments by coaches or psychological factors — might cause rapid repricing as participants reassess the odds leading up to Aug 20, 2026.