TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 8:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Valle and Alexandru Hebhang Balan in the ITF M15 Arad Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Valle' if Federico Valle advances against Alexandru Hebhang Balan. This market will resolve to 'Alexandru Hebhang Balan' if Alexandru Hebhang Balan advances against Federico Valle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Valle and Alexandru Hebhang Balan in the ITF M15 Arad Men, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Valle' if Federico Valle advances against Alexandru Hebhang Balan. This market will resolve to 'Alexandru Hebhang Balan' if Alexandru Hebhang Balan advances against Federico Valle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and liquidity conditions. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader analytics and risk management, prediction market odds reflect the aggregated beliefs and bets of individual participants. This can lead to variations in implied probabilities, especially as new information about player form or weather conditions emerges.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually place bets that directly set the market price through supply and demand dynamics. The current top outcome chance reflects the collective assessment of all participants. As betting activity evolves, especially with updates on player health or match conditions, the odds adjust to balance buy and sell orders, capturing the real-time sentiment of the trading community.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on authoritative sports databases and official tournament announcements, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution that matches the actual event conclusion.
Key signals such as player injuries, changes in tournament conditions, or significant form updates could shift this market. Announcements from coaches, weather forecasts affecting play, and recent performance metrics are all watched closely by traders. Any unexpected developments closer to the match date often trigger rapid adjustments in odds as participants reassess the probabilities.