TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Felipe Vazquez and Ronit Karki in the ITF Men Irvine, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Vazquez' if Felipe Vazquez advances against Ronit Karki. This market will resolve to 'Ronit Karki' if Ronit Karki advances against Felipe Vazquez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Felipe Vazquez and Ronit Karki in the ITF Men Irvine, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Vazquez' if Felipe Vazquez advances against Ronit Karki. This market will resolve to 'Ronit Karki' if Ronit Karki advances against Felipe Vazquez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue attracts sharper action first. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where informed traders see value, though each venue operates independently with its own pricing dynamics.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost to buy a share reflects the current probability; as more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome's price falls. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Wider spreads indicate lower liquidity, while tighter spreads suggest active trading and efficient price discovery.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the match concludes and the winner is verified against credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official result of the ITF Irvine event between the two players. No ambiguity typically surrounds professional tennis match results, making resolution straightforward once the match is complete and confirmed through standard sports data sources.
Player form, recent tournament results, head-to-head history, and injury reports are key catalysts that shift this market's odds. Court surface conditions, weather, and seeding can also influence trader sentiment. News about either player's fitness, coaching changes, or recent match performance often triggers sharp repricing. As the match date approaches, any official updates from the ITF or player social media can accelerate trading activity and move probabilities significantly.