TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 10:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arian Barbic and Martins Rocens in the ITF Men Frankfurt, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arian Barbic' if Arian Barbic advances against Martins Rocens. This market will resolve to 'Martins Rocens' if Martins Rocens advances against Arian Barbic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arian Barbic and Martins Rocens in the ITF Men Frankfurt, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arian Barbic' if Arian Barbic advances against Martins Rocens. This market will resolve to 'Martins Rocens' if Martins Rocens advances against Arian Barbic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader positioning and real-time adjustments. While sportsbooks may release fixed odds early, the prediction market price evolves throughout the event’s buildup, incorporating fresh analysis and crowd insights. Traders on Polymarket set prices dynamically, which can lead to sharper or more volatile odds compared to standard sportsbook offerings.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set prices through buying and selling shares, which determines the market’s current probability. The top outcome’s displayed chance reflects aggregated bets from all participants, updating instantly with each trade. This decentralized pricing model lets users express nuanced views on the match, often capturing shifts in sentiment faster than traditional betting outlets.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with the official match conclusion, ensuring transparency and accuracy for all participants. Traders can track updates leading up to the resolution, knowing the market will settle based on widely accepted match records.
Injuries, weather delays, or last-minute player withdrawals could shift this market significantly before Aug 12, 2026. Additionally, strong performance in practice sessions, recent form analysis, and expert commentary may sway trader sentiment. Any unexpected developments affecting either competitor’s readiness or likelihood of victory are likely to create price movement on Polymarket as the match approaches.