TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasiya Kuparev and Carla Grignac in the ITF Women Dinard, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiya Kuparev' if Anastasiya Kuparev advances against Carla Grignac. This market will resolve to 'Carla Grignac' if Carla Grignac advances against Anastasiya Kuparev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasiya Kuparev and Carla Grignac in the ITF Women Dinard, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiya Kuparev' if Anastasiya Kuparev advances against Carla Grignac. This market will resolve to 'Carla Grignac' if Carla Grignac advances against Anastasiya Kuparev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. For this market, comparing Polymarket's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders disagree. Larger gaps may signal either mispricing or genuine uncertainty, making the comparison a useful due-diligence step before committing capital.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the latest consensus among active traders. As more capital flows into one outcome, the price moves to equilibrate supply and demand. This continuous repricing mechanism means odds can shift rapidly in response to breaking news, injury reports, or other match-relevant developments, giving traders real-time price discovery throughout the market's lifetime.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official match result—which player wins the ITF Dinard event. Resolution occurs after the event is confirmed through established tennis databases and official tournament records. Traders should monitor the event schedule and any last-minute changes that could affect timing or eligibility.
Several catalysts can shift odds before resolution. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, or surface-specific performance data may also influence trader positioning. Weather forecasts for the match day, court conditions, and any changes to the tournament schedule can move the market. Additionally, betting action from professional syndicates or notable traders entering positions can create momentum. Monitoring tennis news outlets and official ITF announcements helps traders stay ahead of these moves.