TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 12:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Belle Thompson and Natsuho Arakawa in the ITF Women Brisbane, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Belle Thompson' if Belle Thompson advances against Natsuho Arakawa. This market will resolve to 'Natsuho Arakawa' if Natsuho Arakawa advances against Belle Thompson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Belle Thompson and Natsuho Arakawa in the ITF Women Brisbane, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Belle Thompson' if Belle Thompson advances against Natsuho Arakawa. This market will resolve to 'Natsuho Arakawa' if Natsuho Arakawa advances against Belle Thompson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the trading dynamics of Polymarket. While sportsbooks set their odds based on analyst insights and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs, which can create price shifts faster than sportsbooks adjust. Traders watch for these differences, as they may reveal where public or insider sentiment diverges from institutional forecasts.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set prices through buying and selling shares, which determines the implied probability for each outcome. The current top outcome’s chance reflects the collective assessment of users betting on who will win, influenced by factors such as recent performance, injuries, and any last-minute updates affecting the players’ readiness.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by the official match result, and the market settles accordingly. Traders can track announcements from tournament organizers or reputable sports news outlets for confirmation as the event date approaches.
Injuries, weather delays, or changes to player form can shift this market as the event nears. Media interviews, practice session reports, and betting trends on Polymarket also influence trader sentiment. Any news that affects the perceived likelihood of each player winning may cause rapid price changes, so monitoring tournament updates and form guide revisions is key for spotting potential moves.