TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 7:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabi Boitan and Alex Hernandez in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabi Boitan' if Gabi Boitan advances against Alex Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Alex Hernandez' if Alex Hernandez advances against Gabi Boitan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabi Boitan and Alex Hernandez in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabi Boitan' if Gabi Boitan advances against Alex Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Alex Hernandez' if Alex Hernandez advances against Gabi Boitan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially when new data emerges. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into the perceived probabilities of various outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, offering a unique perspective on the potential result of the Boitan vs Hernandez fight.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Boitan vs Hernandez fight, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The final determination will be made based on the official record of the fight.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also attract attention and impact trading activity. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and public predictions could sway the market. A significant shift in public opinion, or the release of new performance data, could all contribute to changes in the odds for the Boitan vs Hernandez fight.