TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 12:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether a specific mixed martial arts bout scheduled for August 15, 2026, concludes within a certain number of rounds. The outcome depends on how quickly the fight ends, with different markets reflecting various round thresholds. It reflects the potential for a decisive or abbreviated contest in competitive fighting sports.
The event evaluates whether the Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry fight scheduled for August 15, 2026, concludes before specific round thresholds (rounds 2, 3, 4, and 5). Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the fight ends prior to the designated round, capturing varying degrees of contest brevity. All markets operate independently, with each round threshold representing a distinct condition for resolution. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether the fight ends before the conclusion of round two, as officially recorded and reported by recognized sports news outlets and the event’s official record keepers.
Key signals that could shift this market include pre-fight media events, trainer updates, or any injury news affecting either fighter’s readiness. Significant betting volume spikes following analyst predictions or public polls may also cause price swings. As the fight draws nearer, any last-minute changes in fighter weight, strategy announcements, or booking adjustments can dramatically influence trader sentiment and market movement.