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Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry: Round of Finish
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Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry: Round of Finish

Volume:
$439,290

Fight ends before round 4

 - Kalshi

Fight ends before round 4 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 12:24 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fight ends before round 4

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$158,840
N/A
N/A
$141,902
Settled
No
kalshi

Fight ends before round 5

0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$128,684
N/A
N/A
$109,159
Settled
No
kalshi

Fight ends before round 3

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94,990
N/A
N/A
$67,840
Settled
No
kalshi

Fight ends before round 2

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56,777
N/A
N/A
$46,931
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks whether a specific mixed martial arts bout scheduled for August 15, 2026, concludes within a certain number of rounds. The outcome depends on how quickly the fight ends, with different markets reflecting various round thresholds. It reflects the potential for a decisive or abbreviated contest in competitive fighting sports.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry fight scheduled for August 15, 2026, concludes before specific round thresholds (rounds 2, 3, 4, and 5). Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the fight ends prior to the designated round, capturing varying degrees of contest brevity. All markets operate independently, with each round threshold representing a distinct condition for resolution. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Makhachev vs Garry finish market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for this specific outcome, alongside a live chart of price history and a display of current 24-hour volume of $431,330. It provides a focused view of how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of a finish before the end of round two in the fight.

This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether the fight ends before the conclusion of round two, as officially recorded and reported by recognized sports news outlets and the event’s official record keepers.

Key signals that could shift this market include pre-fight media events, trainer updates, or any injury news affecting either fighter’s readiness. Significant betting volume spikes following analyst predictions or public polls may also cause price swings. As the fight draws nearer, any last-minute changes in fighter weight, strategy announcements, or booking adjustments can dramatically influence trader sentiment and market movement.