TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 11:11 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Colombia Primera A game between Independiente Medellín and AD Cali, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Independiente Medellín" if Independiente Medellín score more goals than AD Cali in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Independiente Medellín and AD Cali score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AD Cali" if AD Cali score more goals than Independiente Medellín in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Colombia Primera A game between Independiente Medellín and AD Cali, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Independiente Medellín" if Independiente Medellín score more goals than AD Cali in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Independiente Medellín and AD Cali score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AD Cali" if AD Cali score more goals than Independiente Medellín in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. This market's odds represent a crowd-sourced probability estimate from traders on Polymarket, which may differ from what conventional sportsbooks offer. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader betting public and prediction market traders disagree on the likely second-half outcome.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different second-half outcomes. The price of each outcome reflects the collective trading activity and belief of participants; as more traders buy a particular outcome, its price rises, and vice versa. The current odds you see on the dashboard represent the real-time equilibrium between supply and demand for each outcome share, updated continuously as new trades execute.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the Independiente Medellín versus AD Cali match concludes and the second-half result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded during the second half of the match. At that point, the market will settle based on which outcome occurred, and traders holding the winning shares will receive their payout.
Several factors could shift this market's odds before resolution. Team news—such as injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers significant price movement. In-match events during the first half, including goals, red cards, or momentum swings, can reshape expectations for the second-half outcome. Public commentary from analysts, betting syndicates, or social media sentiment may also influence trader behavior. Additionally, real-time odds from sportsbooks and other prediction markets can serve as reference points that prompt traders to adjust their positions on this market.