TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Allsvenskan game between IK Sirius and Mjallby AIF, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "IK Sirius" if IK Sirius score more goals than Mjallby AIF in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if IK Sirius and Mjallby AIF score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mjallby AIF" if Mjallby AIF score more goals than IK Sirius in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Allsvenskan game between IK Sirius and Mjallby AIF, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "IK Sirius" if IK Sirius score more goals than Mjallby AIF in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if IK Sirius and Mjallby AIF score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mjallby AIF" if Mjallby AIF score more goals than IK Sirius in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. Crowd-sourced pricing in this market can sometimes identify value that sportsbooks miss, particularly for niche outcomes like second-half results. However, sportsbooks benefit from professional oddsmakers and real-time adjustment, so neither venue consistently outperforms the other. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion and professional opinion diverge on the IK Sirius vs. Mjallby fixture.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell volume. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—home win, away win, or draw in the second half—has its own contract, and the price of each reflects the cumulative belief of all traders holding positions. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and others fall, maintaining a zero-sum dynamic. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and trading activity right up until the match begins.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the second half of the IK Sirius vs. Mjallby match concludes and the final result is verified. The outcome is determined by the actual second-half scoreline—whether IK Sirius wins, Mjallby wins, or the teams draw during that period. Resolution is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting of the match. Traders should note that only the second-half result matters for this contract, regardless of the first-half score.
Several factors could shift odds before the match kicks off. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers sharp movement, especially if a key player is ruled out. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions can all influence trader positioning. Once the first half concludes, the scoreline and momentum become critical signals; a team trailing by multiple goals may see its second-half win probability compress significantly. Late injury updates or tactical announcements from either side can also prompt repricing as traders reassess the likelihood of each outcome.