TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team will win over the other. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Houston vs Georgia Southern college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For markets where Houston wins by a specified margin or more, the market resolves to Yes if Houston's victory meets or exceeds that threshold. Conversely, one market resolves to Yes if Georgia Southern wins by more than 1.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective that can differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings, and then converge as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Houston vs Georgia Southern football game. The resolution will reflect the actual margin of victory, and contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range defined by the purchased contracts. Traders will have until the resolution time to adjust their positions based on any new information.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Key injuries to star players on either the Houston or Georgia Southern teams would likely cause significant shifts. Unexpected coaching changes, weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions, or even significant news regarding team morale could also impact trading activity. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths or the likely game outcome has the potential to move this market, as traders react and adjust their positions accordingly.