TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:25 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential specifically in the final quarter of a college football game between Houston and Georgia Southern. Each outcome represents a different threshold for how much one team might outscore the other in that decisive segment of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the fourth quarter of the Houston vs Georgia Southern college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. For Houston-based markets, resolution occurs if Houston outscores Georgia Southern by more than the specified margin (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). For Georgia Southern-based markets, resolution occurs if Georgia Southern outscores Houston by more than the specified margin (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final fourth-quarter result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or outcome beyond the fourth quarter.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a particular spread is likely, the price will move in that direction, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and adjust prices accordingly, offering a different perspective than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic creates a market-driven price that attempts to reflect the true likelihood of each possible outcome in the fourth quarter of the Houston vs Georgia Southern game.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the fourth quarter of the Houston vs Georgia Southern game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the winning contract. Traders will be able to see the final result and whether their contracts were settled in their favor following the conclusion of the game and verification of the official score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Houston or Georgia Southern teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ strengths and weaknesses could lead to traders adjusting their positions, causing the price to fluctuate until the game’s conclusion.