TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Holstein Kiel vs. FC St. Pauli 1910
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Holstein Kiel vs. FC St. Pauli 1910?

Volume:
$779,473

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 3:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$128,467
N/A
N/A
$71,467
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Holstein Kiel vs. FC St. Pauli 1910)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$27,020
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

St. Pauli

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$231,956
N/A
N/A
$99,654
Settled
No
polymarket

FC St. Pauli 1910

0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$172,239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kiel

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$144,971
N/A
N/A
$92,888
Settled
No
polymarket

Holstein Kiel

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,818
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the Holstein Kiel vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 match scheduled for August 14, 2026, will end in a draw. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw stands at 100.0%, based on data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution determined by official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. Watch the match result on August 14, 2026, to see how this market resolves.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree on using the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of cancellations and postponements.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers

Core resolution logic:

  • A win for Holstein Kiel resolves the 'Holstein Kiel win' market to Yes and others to No
  • A win for FC St. Pauli resolves the 'FC St. Pauli win' market to Yes and others to No
  • A draw resolves the 'draw' market to Yes and win markets to No
  • Postponements keep markets open until completed; full cancellations resolve win markets to No and draw market to Yes

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed; resolution follows the final official result
  • Full Cancellation: Win markets resolve to No; draw market resolves to Yes per platform rules
Timing: Resolution occurs based on official statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, or via credible reporting consensus if official data is delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, August 14, 2026 between Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli 1910.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Kiel vs St. Pauli professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match scheduled for August 14, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: Kiel win, St. Pauli win, or a tie. If either team secures a victory within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes with an equal score, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. The resolution strictly adheres to the official match result as recorded by the Bundesliga 2 governing body, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootout results.

Frequently asked questions

Injuries, weather updates, or shifting team form in the days leading up to the match can all move this market. Key moments like coaching changes or high-profile player status announcements often cause rapid adjustments. As the event nears, any new information that alters perceived probabilities may cause sharp moves, so monitoring news and lineups is essential for tracking this market.