TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.8b

24H VOL:

$74,088,679

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,155,064,106

338,083

Markets across

33,297

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,226

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 26, 2026?

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 26, 2026?

Aug 25, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Aug 27, 2026, 3:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$738,575
Volume 24h:
$668,969N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$430,032
735%

86° to 87°

 - Kalshi

86° to 87° - Kalshi

100%

+57.2%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Aug 25

Aug 25

Aug 26

Aug 26

Aug 26

Aug 26

Aug 27

Vol.

$117.2k

·

Resolves Aug 27, 2026

Time left: 11h:30m:10s

Will the maximum temperature be 86-87° on Aug 26, 2026?

99%chance
Amount

$

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in Los Angeles on a specific future date, using an authoritative weather data provider to determine the outcome. It categorizes the result into several temperature ranges, each corresponding to a different resolution condition.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Los Angeles (CLILAX) on August 26, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each triggering a 'Yes' resolution for its respective market if the recorded high falls within that range. The ranges are structured as follows: 81° or below, 82-83°, 84-85°, 86-87°, 88-89°, and 90° or above. All markets share a common secondary rule emphasizing that while other weather sources may offer guidance, The Weather Company’s official reporting is the sole determinant of the outcome. Participants should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary data, as rounding and conversion discrepancies may occur before the final reported value is established.