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404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
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61%
Closed: Jun 27, 7:35 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Henan FC and Shanghai Haigang FC, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Henan FC" if Henan FC score more goals than Shanghai Haigang FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Henan FC and Shanghai Haigang FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shanghai Haigang FC" if Shanghai Haigang FC score more goals than Henan FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Henan FC and Shanghai Haigang FC, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Henan FC" if Henan FC score more goals than Shanghai Haigang FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Henan FC and Shanghai Haigang FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shanghai Haigang FC" if Shanghai Haigang FC score more goals than Henan FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. Prediction markets typically aggregate dispersed information efficiently, sometimes pricing outcomes differently than traditional oddsmakers. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd's collective judgment differs from professional bookmakers, offering insights into potential value or consensus shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares directly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of shares outstanding for each possible result, with prices adjusting continuously as trades occur. Higher demand for a particular outcome drives its price up, increasing the implied probability, while lower demand reduces it. This mechanism ensures transparent, real-time pricing and allows participants to enter or exit positions at any time before the market resolves.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once the second half of the Henan FC versus Shanghai Haigang match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the final score or result recorded in the second half only, independent of the first half. Resolution occurs after official confirmation from the relevant sports authority or widely recognized sports data provider. All shares are then settled according to the verified outcome.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before it resolves. Team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff can significantly alter expectations. Early first-half performance may influence trader sentiment about how the second half will unfold. Weather conditions, referee assignments, or tactical adjustments made at halftime could also prompt repricing. Additionally, broader context like recent form, head-to-head records, or league standings may influence how traders assess the likelihood of each outcome as the event approaches.