TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$143,246,370

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,403,290,006

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,452,035,386

405,032

Markets across

30,543

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,690

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Hanshin Tigers vs. Yokohama BayStars
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Hanshin Tigers vs. Yokohama BayStars?

Volume:
$302,058

Hanshin Tigers

 - Kalshi

Hanshin Tigers - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 21, 2026

Closed: Jul 21, 9:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$160,878
N/A
N/A
$97,172
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hanshin Tigers vs. Yokohama BayStars

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,363
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$136,817
N/A
N/A
$62,636
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) matchup between the Hanshin Tigers and Yokohama BayStars scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with slightly different resolution mechanics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Tigers win or BayStars win) resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No resolution path under normal circumstances. This makes the market unresolvable as specified.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi until the market terms are corrected. The resolution criteria as written cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket offers a properly structured binary market for this matchup.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear winner-take-all logic. Resolves to team name of winner. Handles edge cases (postponement, cancellation, tie) with 50-50 split. Source: Official NPB information or credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Market structure resolves to Yes if either Yokohama DeNA BayStars OR Hanshin Tigers wins. Both possible game outcomes map to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No valid No resolution path exists under normal game completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 21 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Hanshin Tigers Japan NPB game originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price per established rules. In the event of a tie, the market resolves to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market pricing for the Hanshin Tigers vs. BayStars matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, two major venues where traders forecast the winner. Each platform operates independently, allowing you to compare how different communities of predictors assess the same sporting event. The combined view shows consensus strength, recent volume shifts, and any divergence between venues. By tracking this market across platforms, you gain insight into whether professional traders and casual predictors align on the likely outcome, or whether meaningful disagreement exists that could signal value.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on continuous trading among participants to discover prices. This market reflects real-time consensus from traders willing to stake capital on their forecasts, often incorporating information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Prediction market prices tend to be more efficient at incorporating late-breaking news, injury reports, or lineup changes. However, sportsbook odds may include sharper professional action and tighter margins, making direct comparison useful for identifying where the two systems diverge most.

Key injury announcements, roster changes, or managerial decisions can shift prices significantly. Recent team performance, head-to-head records, and momentum heading into the matchup all influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions or venue factors may also matter for baseball outcomes. Major trades or unexpected lineup news typically trigger sharp repricing across both platforms. Social media trends and expert commentary can amplify or dampen conviction among retail traders. Volume spikes often precede or follow significant news, so watching trading activity alongside price movement helps identify when the market is reacting to new information versus routine fluctuation.