TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 9:40 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game is scheduled to take place between two teams in Japan's top league. The focus will be on whether either team manages to score during the very first inning of play. This early scoring attempt will determine a specific condition for the event.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Hanshin Tigers vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows professional Japan NPB baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant difference emerges, arbitrage opportunities may arise, as traders buy low on one venue and sell high on the other. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event occurring.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether a run was scored during the first inning of the Hanshin Tigers versus Tokyo Yakult Swallows game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the final outcome of this market. No further details about the resolution process are available.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding starting pitchers – such as injuries or late changes – could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact hitting, could also play a role. Even general sentiment and public perception of the teams’ offensive capabilities could move the market. Major pre-game announcements about player lineups or batting orders are also likely to cause price fluctuations in this market.